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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

21%

Parma

4.85

27%

Draw

3.68

52%

Bologna

1.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Parma xG

Total xG

2.94

1.83

Bologna xG

21%
27%
52%
ParmaDrawBologna

4.85

21%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

1.91

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

16%

Parma

6.25

33%

Bologna

3.02

Win to Nil

3%

Parma

30.31

17%

Bologna

5.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 9.7 8.9 5.4 2.5 0.9
1 5.9 10.7 9.8 6.0 2.8 1.0
2 3.2 5.9 5.4 3.3 1.5 0.6
3 1.2 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.106
λ Away (xG) 1.833
Total xG 2.939
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.270
Parma attack strength 0.846
Parma defence strength 1.366
Bologna attack strength 1.057
Bologna defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 62