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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Mon 22 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

50%

Napoli

2.01

29%

Draw

3.46

21%

Pisa

4.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.10

0.77

Pisa xG

50%
29%
21%
NapoliDrawPisa

2.01

50%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

4.70

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

46%

Napoli

2.15

26%

Pisa

3.78

Win to Nil

23%

Napoli

4.32

6%

Pisa

17.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 9.4 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 16.4 12.5 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 10.9 8.3 3.2 0.8 0.2
3 4.8 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.330
λ Away (xG) 0.766
Total xG 2.096
League avg home goals 1.150
League avg away goals 1.110
Napoli attack strength 1.091
Napoli defence strength 0.811
Pisa attack strength 0.851
Pisa defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 3