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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

26%

Napoli

3.87

31%

Draw

3.26

44%

Inter

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.37

1.36

Inter xG

26%
31%
44%
NapoliDrawInter

3.87

26%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.30

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

26%

Napoli

3.92

37%

Inter

2.72

Win to Nil

7%

Napoli

15.17

16%

Inter

6.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 12.8 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
1 9.4 12.8 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 4.7 6.4 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.6 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.000
λ Away (xG) 1.365
Total xG 2.365
League avg home goals 1.321
League avg away goals 1.210
Napoli attack strength 0.998
Napoli defence strength 0.792
Inter attack strength 1.424
Inter defence strength 0.758
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64