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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
57%
1.77
30%
3.38
14%
7.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
20.3%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.9%
Draw
2 – 0
13.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.37
Napoli xG
Total xG
1.91
0.54
Genoa xG
NapoliDrawGenoa
1.77
57%
Home win
3.38
30%
Draw
7.20
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
32%
BTTS Yes
3.14
68%
BTTS No
1.47
Clean Sheet
58%
1.72
25%
3.92
Win to Nil
33%
3.03
4%
28.27
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.9 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 20.3 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.9 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.4 | – | – |
| 3 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.367
λ Away (xG)
0.540
Total xG
1.907
League avg home goals
1.178
League avg away goals
1.130
Napoli attack strength
1.253
Napoli defence strength
0.719
Genoa attack strength
0.664
Genoa defence strength
0.926
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
73 / 73