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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

11:00

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

63%

Juventus

1.58

21%

Draw

4.72

16%

Fiorentina

6.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.91

0.90

Fiorentina xG

63%
21%
16%
JuventusDrawFiorentina

1.58

63%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

6.38

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

41%

Juventus

2.45

13%

Fiorentina

7.49

Win to Nil

26%

Juventus

3.88

2%

Fiorentina

47.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.1
1 11.0 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.4 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
4 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.014
λ Away (xG) 0.896
Total xG 2.910
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.131
Juventus attack strength 1.268
Juventus defence strength 0.805
Fiorentina attack strength 0.984
Fiorentina defence strength 1.272
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74