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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hellas Verona Win

38%

Hellas Verona

2.66

36%

Draw

2.81

27%

Parma

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

1.91

0.85

Parma xG

38%
36%
27%
Hellas VeronaDrawParma

2.66

38%

Home win

2.81

36%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.53

60%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

43%

Hellas Verona

2.35

35%

Parma

2.88

Win to Nil

16%

Hellas Verona

6.24

9%

Parma

10.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.8 12.6 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.6 13.4 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.3 7.1 3.0 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.058
λ Away (xG) 0.854
Total xG 1.912
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.064
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.863
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.114
Parma attack strength 0.720
Parma defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49