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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lecce Win

24%

Hellas Verona

4.24

30%

Draw

3.36

47%

Lecce

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.15

1.30

Lecce xG

24%
30%
47%
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce

4.24

24%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

27%

Hellas Verona

3.68

43%

Lecce

2.33

Win to Nil

6%

Hellas Verona

15.61

20%

Lecce

4.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 15.2 9.9 4.3 1.4 0.4
1 9.9 12.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.2 5.4 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.845
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 2.148
League avg home goals 1.183
League avg away goals 1.126
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.623
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.296
Lecce attack strength 0.893
Lecce defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73