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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

25%

Hellas Verona

3.93

24%

Draw

4.18

51%

Fiorentina

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.84

1.71

Fiorentina xG

25%
24%
51%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina

3.93

25%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

1.98

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

18%

Hellas Verona

5.50

32%

Fiorentina

3.13

Win to Nil

5%

Hellas Verona

21.60

16%

Fiorentina

6.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.9 8.4 4.8 2.0 0.7
1 6.6 11.3 9.6 5.5 2.3 0.8
2 3.8 6.4 5.5 3.1 1.3 0.5
3 1.4 2.4 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.140
λ Away (xG) 1.705
Total xG 2.845
League avg home goals 1.271
League avg away goals 1.185
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.740
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.317
Fiorentina attack strength 1.093
Fiorentina defence strength 1.213
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68