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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

11%

Hellas Verona

9.29

22%

Draw

4.64

68%

Fiorentina

1.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

3.08

2.25

Fiorentina xG

22%
68%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina

9.29

11%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

1.48

68%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

11%

Hellas Verona

9.46

43%

Fiorentina

2.30

Win to Nil

1%

Hellas Verona

87.91

29%

Fiorentina

3.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 10.3 11.6 8.7 4.9 2.2
1 3.8 8.6 9.7 7.2 4.1 1.8
2 1.6 3.6 4.0 3.0 1.7 0.8
3 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.834
λ Away (xG) 2.247
Total xG 3.081
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.230
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.695
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.616
Fiorentina attack strength 1.130
Fiorentina defence strength 0.894
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63