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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

29%

Hellas Verona

3.49

30%

Draw

3.34

41%

Atalanta

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.37

1.32

Atalanta xG

29%
30%
41%
Hellas VeronaDrawAtalanta

3.49

29%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.41

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

27%

Hellas Verona

3.73

35%

Atalanta

2.87

Win to Nil

8%

Hellas Verona

13.00

14%

Atalanta

6.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 12.3 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 9.9 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.2 6.8 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.054
λ Away (xG) 1.316
Total xG 2.370
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.141
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.858
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.158
Atalanta attack strength 0.996
Atalanta defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51