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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

50%

Genoa

2.00

23%

Draw

4.31

27%

Udinese

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Genoa xG

Total xG

3.05

1.26

Udinese xG

50%
23%
27%
GenoaDrawUdinese

2.00

50%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

28%

Genoa

3.51

17%

Udinese

5.99

Win to Nil

14%

Genoa

7.04

4%

Udinese

22.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.0 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.5 10.7 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.5 5.7 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.790
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 3.047
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.178
Genoa attack strength 1.167
Genoa defence strength 1.066
Udinese attack strength 1.002
Udinese defence strength 1.195
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67