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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

33%

Genoa

3.01

29%

Draw

3.45

38%

Napoli

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.32

1.20

Napoli xG

33%
29%
38%
GenoaDrawNapoli

3.01

33%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

30%

Genoa

3.33

33%

Napoli

3.04

Win to Nil

10%

Genoa

10.02

12%

Napoli

8.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.9 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.1 7.3 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 1.203
Total xG 2.315
League avg home goals 1.231
League avg away goals 1.156
Genoa attack strength 1.018
Genoa defence strength 1.073
Napoli attack strength 0.971
Napoli defence strength 0.887
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61