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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Fiorentina Win
25%
4.06
37%
2.73
39%
2.58
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
17.5%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
17.5%
Away win
1 – 0
13.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.74
Genoa xG
Total xG
1.74
1.00
Fiorentina xG
GenoaDrawFiorentina
4.06
25%
Home win
2.73
37%
Draw
2.58
39%
Away win
Goals Markets
52%
Over 1.5
1.92
48%
Under 1.5
2.08
25%
Over 2.5
4.00
75%
Under 2.5
1.33
10%
Over 3.5
10.00
90%
Under 3.5
1.11
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.86
65%
BTTS No
1.54
Clean Sheet
37%
2.72
48%
2.10
Win to Nil
9%
11.04
18%
5.43
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.744
λ Away (xG)
1.000
Total xG
1.744
League avg home goals
1.142
League avg away goals
1.052
Genoa attack strength
0.603
Genoa defence strength
1.178
Fiorentina attack strength
0.808
Fiorentina defence strength
1.082
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48