Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Wed 29 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

30%

Genoa

3.35

36%

Draw

2.80

34%

Cremonese

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Genoa xG

Total xG

1.88

0.98

Cremonese xG

30%
36%
34%
GenoaDrawCremonese

3.35

30%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

37%

Genoa

2.67

41%

Cremonese

2.46

Win to Nil

11%

Genoa

8.94

14%

Cremonese

7.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.2 15.0 7.3 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 13.5 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 6.2 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.2
3 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.899
λ Away (xG) 0.982
Total xG 1.881
League avg home goals 1.229
League avg away goals 1.067
Genoa attack strength 0.642
Genoa defence strength 1.067
Cremonese attack strength 0.863
Cremonese defence strength 1.138
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 8