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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

34%

Genoa

2.92

27%

Draw

3.67

39%

AS Roma

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.46

1.27

AS Roma xG

34%
27%
39%
GenoaDrawAS Roma

2.92

34%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

28%

Genoa

3.58

31%

AS Roma

3.27

Win to Nil

10%

Genoa

10.45

12%

AS Roma

8.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.9 6.9 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 10.1 12.9 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.0 7.6 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.184
λ Away (xG) 1.274
Total xG 2.458
League avg home goals 1.265
League avg away goals 1.190
Genoa attack strength 1.132
Genoa defence strength 1.081
AS Roma attack strength 0.989
AS Roma defence strength 0.826
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65