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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Mon 23 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

52%

Fiorentina

1.93

22%

Draw

4.45

26%

Pisa

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

3.23

1.31

Pisa xG

52%
22%
26%
FiorentinaDrawPisa

1.93

52%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

27%

Fiorentina

3.70

15%

Pisa

6.86

Win to Nil

14%

Fiorentina

7.16

4%

Pisa

26.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.2 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.6 9.9 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 9.6 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.7 6.1 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.925
λ Away (xG) 1.308
Total xG 3.233
League avg home goals 1.231
League avg away goals 1.216
Fiorentina attack strength 1.072
Fiorentina defence strength 1.147
Pisa attack strength 0.938
Pisa defence strength 1.459
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25