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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Fiorentina Win
39%
2.55
32%
3.10
29%
3.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.2%
Draw
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.04
Fiorentina xG
Total xG
1.89
0.84
Genoa xG
FiorentinaDrawGenoa
2.55
39%
Home win
3.10
32%
Draw
3.51
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
56%
Over 1.5
1.79
44%
Under 1.5
2.27
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.69
63%
BTTS No
1.59
Clean Sheet
43%
2.32
35%
2.84
Win to Nil
17%
5.93
10%
9.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.2 | 12.8 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.8 | 13.3 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.043
λ Away (xG)
0.843
Total xG
1.886
League avg home goals
1.229
League avg away goals
1.106
Fiorentina attack strength
0.878
Fiorentina defence strength
0.845
Genoa attack strength
0.902
Genoa defence strength
0.967
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
73 / 73