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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

63%

Fiorentina

1.59

23%

Draw

4.33

14%

Empoli

7.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.57

0.74

Empoli xG

63%
23%
14%
FiorentinaDrawEmpoli

1.59

63%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

7.05

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

48%

Fiorentina

2.10

16%

Empoli

6.20

Win to Nil

30%

Fiorentina

3.35

2%

Empoli

43.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 5.7 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 10.4 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.8 9.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 7.8 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 2.6 1.0 0.2
5 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.824
λ Away (xG) 0.742
Total xG 2.566
League avg home goals 1.226
League avg away goals 1.124
Fiorentina attack strength 1.102
Fiorentina defence strength 0.770
Empoli attack strength 0.857
Empoli defence strength 1.350
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71