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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

29%

Fiorentina

3.50

26%

Draw

3.90

46%

AC Milan

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.64

1.50

AC Milan xG

29%
26%
46%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan

3.50

29%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

22%

Fiorentina

4.50

32%

AC Milan

3.10

Win to Nil

6%

Fiorentina

15.72

15%

AC Milan

6.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 10.8 8.1 4.1 1.5 0.5
1 8.1 12.2 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.6 6.9 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.7 2.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.133
λ Away (xG) 1.503
Total xG 2.636
League avg home goals 1.167
League avg away goals 1.183
Fiorentina attack strength 1.212
Fiorentina defence strength 1.089
AC Milan attack strength 1.167
AC Milan defence strength 0.801
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56