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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

30%

Empoli

3.28

33%

Draw

2.99

36%

Parma

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.1%

Away win

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Empoli xG

Total xG

1.88

0.99

Parma xG

30%
33%
36%
EmpoliDrawParma

3.28

30%

Home win

2.99

33%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.65

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

37%

Empoli

2.70

41%

Parma

2.43

Win to Nil

11%

Empoli

8.86

15%

Parma

6.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.2 15.1 7.5 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.5 13.4 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 6.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.2
3 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.888
λ Away (xG) 0.993
Total xG 1.881
League avg home goals 1.179
League avg away goals 1.118
Empoli attack strength 0.662
Empoli defence strength 1.194
Parma attack strength 0.743
Parma defence strength 1.137
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 35