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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

23%

Empoli

4.34

33%

Draw

3.04

44%

Cagliari

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.80

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.00

1.20

Cagliari xG

23%
33%
44%
EmpoliDrawCagliari

4.34

23%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

30%

Empoli

3.32

45%

Cagliari

2.22

Win to Nil

7%

Empoli

14.42

20%

Cagliari

5.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 16.3 9.8 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 10.8 13.0 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 4.3 5.2 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.796
λ Away (xG) 1.201
Total xG 1.997
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.173
Empoli attack strength 0.623
Empoli defence strength 1.270
Cagliari attack strength 0.806
Cagliari defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68