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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

9%

Empoli

10.73

24%

Draw

4.10

66%

Atalanta

1.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

15.4%

Away win

0 – 0

9.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.55

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.36

1.80

Atalanta xG

24%
66%
EmpoliDrawAtalanta

10.73

9%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

1.51

66%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.71

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

16%

Empoli

6.06

57%

Atalanta

1.74

Win to Nil

2%

Empoli

65.04

38%

Atalanta

2.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 17.1 15.4 9.2 4.2 1.5
1 5.3 9.5 8.5 5.1 2.3 0.8
2 1.5 2.6 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.554
λ Away (xG) 1.802
Total xG 2.356
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.214
Empoli attack strength 0.643
Empoli defence strength 1.121
Atalanta attack strength 1.325
Atalanta defence strength 0.642
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63