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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

17%

Empoli

5.72

30%

Draw

3.29

52%

AS Roma

1.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

0 – 2

11.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.27

1.49

AS Roma xG

17%
30%
52%
EmpoliDrawAS Roma

5.72

17%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

1.92

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

23%

Empoli

4.44

46%

AS Roma

2.17

Win to Nil

4%

Empoli

25.42

24%

AS Roma

4.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 15.5 11.5 5.7 2.1 0.6
1 8.0 12.0 8.9 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 3.1 4.7 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.776
λ Away (xG) 1.491
Total xG 2.267
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.231
Empoli attack strength 0.623
Empoli defence strength 1.311
AS Roma attack strength 0.924
AS Roma defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65