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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Mon 4 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

16%

Cremonese

6.10

31%

Draw

3.18

52%

Lazio

1.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

20.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

17.0%

Draw

0 – 2

12.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.55

Cremonese xG

Total xG

1.77

1.22

Lazio xG

16%
31%
52%
CremoneseDrawLazio

6.10

16%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

1.92

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.29

70%

BTTS No

1.44

Clean Sheet

30%

Cremonese

3.38

58%

Lazio

1.74

Win to Nil

5%

Cremonese

20.62

30%

Lazio

3.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.0 20.7 12.6 5.1 1.6 0.4
1 9.4 11.5 7.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 2.6 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
4 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.553
λ Away (xG) 1.218
Total xG 1.771
League avg home goals 1.235
League avg away goals 1.105
Cremonese attack strength 0.621
Cremonese defence strength 1.261
Lazio attack strength 0.874
Lazio defence strength 0.722
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 72