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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

62%

Como

1.61

23%

Draw

4.43

15%

Fiorentina

6.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Como xG

Total xG

2.59

0.77

Fiorentina xG

62%
23%
15%
ComoDrawFiorentina

1.61

62%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

6.57

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

46%

Como

2.16

16%

Fiorentina

6.15

Win to Nil

29%

Como

3.47

2%

Fiorentina

40.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 10.5 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.6 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 7.5 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.3
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.817
λ Away (xG) 0.769
Total xG 2.586
League avg home goals 1.246
League avg away goals 1.205
Como attack strength 1.189
Como defence strength 0.718
Fiorentina attack strength 0.889
Fiorentina defence strength 1.226
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 62