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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

11:30

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

51%

Cagliari

1.97

24%

Draw

4.23

26%

Pisa

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.91

1.17

Pisa xG

51%
24%
26%
CagliariDrawPisa

1.97

51%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

31%

Cagliari

3.23

18%

Pisa

5.71

Win to Nil

16%

Cagliari

6.36

4%

Pisa

22.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.4 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.5 11.1 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.6 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 4.8 5.6 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.742
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 2.913
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.098
Cagliari attack strength 1.018
Cagliari defence strength 1.109
Pisa attack strength 0.962
Pisa defence strength 1.394
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15