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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Mon 27 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

26%

Cagliari

3.90

30%

Draw

3.33

44%

Atalanta

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.01

1.19

Atalanta xG

26%
30%
44%
CagliariDrawAtalanta

3.90

26%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

31%

Cagliari

3.27

44%

Atalanta

2.28

Win to Nil

8%

Cagliari

12.76

19%

Atalanta

5.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 15.9 9.4 3.7 1.1 0.3
1 11.1 13.1 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 4.6 5.4 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.826
λ Away (xG) 1.185
Total xG 2.011
League avg home goals 1.231
League avg away goals 1.122
Cagliari attack strength 0.870
Cagliari defence strength 0.956
Atalanta attack strength 1.105
Atalanta defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71