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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

22%

Cagliari

4.52

28%

Draw

3.60

50%

AS Roma

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.48

1.54

AS Roma xG

22%
28%
50%
CagliariDrawAS Roma

4.52

22%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

22%

Cagliari

4.65

39%

AS Roma

2.56

Win to Nil

5%

Cagliari

21.01

20%

AS Roma

5.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 12.9 9.9 5.1 1.9 0.6
1 7.9 12.1 9.3 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 3.7 5.7 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.3
3 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.941
λ Away (xG) 1.536
Total xG 2.477
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.126
Cagliari attack strength 1.013
Cagliari defence strength 1.246
AS Roma attack strength 1.094
AS Roma defence strength 0.744
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51