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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bologna Win
42%
2.38
34%
2.95
24%
4.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.0%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.8%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.16
Bologna xG
Total xG
1.98
0.82
Napoli xG
BolognaDrawNapoli
2.38
42%
Home win
2.95
34%
Draw
4.15
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.49
60%
BTTS No
1.67
Clean Sheet
44%
2.27
31%
3.20
Win to Nil
18%
5.41
8%
13.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8 | 11.3 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 16.0 | 13.1 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 9.3 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.162
λ Away (xG)
0.820
Total xG
1.982
League avg home goals
1.142
League avg away goals
1.052
Bologna attack strength
1.172
Bologna defence strength
0.749
Napoli attack strength
1.041
Napoli defence strength
0.868
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48