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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

46%

Bologna

2.19

29%

Draw

3.43

25%

Monza

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.51

1.03

Monza xG

46%
29%
25%
BolognaDrawMonza

2.19

46%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

36%

Bologna

2.82

23%

Monza

4.35

Win to Nil

16%

Bologna

6.16

6%

Monza

17.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.4 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 12.4 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.471
λ Away (xG) 1.035
Total xG 2.506
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.304
Bologna attack strength 1.048
Bologna defence strength 0.952
Monza attack strength 0.833
Monza defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 58