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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

43%

Bologna

2.34

29%

Draw

3.47

28%

Genoa

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.19

0.95

Genoa xG

43%
29%
28%
BolognaDrawGenoa

2.34

43%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

39%

Bologna

2.59

29%

Genoa

3.46

Win to Nil

17%

Bologna

6.05

8%

Genoa

12.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 10.6 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.8 13.2 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.6 8.2 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.240
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 2.192
League avg home goals 1.220
League avg away goals 1.062
Bologna attack strength 1.081
Bologna defence strength 0.892
Genoa attack strength 1.006
Genoa defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41