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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

57%

Bologna

1.76

27%

Draw

3.77

17%

Genoa

6.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.34

0.75

Genoa xG

57%
27%
17%
BolognaDrawGenoa

1.76

57%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

6.00

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

47%

Bologna

2.11

20%

Genoa

4.90

Win to Nil

27%

Bologna

3.71

3%

Genoa

29.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 15.4 11.5 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.2 9.1 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.5 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.590
λ Away (xG) 0.746
Total xG 2.336
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.133
Bologna attack strength 1.357
Bologna defence strength 0.834
Genoa attack strength 0.789
Genoa defence strength 0.949
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75