Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

47%

Bologna

2.14

27%

Draw

3.72

26%

Fiorentina

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

9.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.40

0.99

Fiorentina xG

47%
27%
26%
BolognaDrawFiorentina

2.14

47%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

37%

Bologna

2.68

24%

Fiorentina

4.11

Win to Nil

17%

Bologna

5.73

6%

Fiorentina

15.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 8.9 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.8 12.6 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 8.9 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.414
λ Away (xG) 0.987
Total xG 2.401
League avg home goals 1.173
League avg away goals 1.147
Bologna attack strength 0.919
Bologna defence strength 1.012
Fiorentina attack strength 0.851
Fiorentina defence strength 1.312
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58