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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

58%

Bologna

1.71

27%

Draw

3.67

14%

Cremonese

6.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.22

0.65

Cremonese xG

58%
27%
14%
BolognaDrawCremonese

1.71

58%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

6.98

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

52%

Bologna

1.92

21%

Cremonese

4.79

Win to Nil

30%

Bologna

3.29

3%

Cremonese

33.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 7.1 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 17.0 11.1 3.6 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 8.7 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 7.0 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.567
λ Away (xG) 0.653
Total xG 2.220
League avg home goals 1.193
League avg away goals 1.126
Bologna attack strength 1.192
Bologna defence strength 0.672
Cremonese attack strength 0.863
Cremonese defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 12