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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Wed 7 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

44%

Bologna

2.26

28%

Draw

3.58

28%

Atalanta

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.29

0.98

Atalanta xG

44%
28%
28%
BolognaDrawAtalanta

2.26

44%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

38%

Bologna

2.66

27%

Atalanta

3.72

Win to Nil

17%

Bologna

6.01

7%

Atalanta

13.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.3 13.0 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.5 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.313
λ Away (xG) 0.978
Total xG 2.291
League avg home goals 1.171
League avg away goals 1.142
Bologna attack strength 1.044
Bologna defence strength 0.900
Atalanta attack strength 0.952
Atalanta defence strength 1.074
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56