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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

54%

Bologna

1.85

27%

Draw

3.64

18%

AS Roma

5.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.45

0.84

AS Roma xG

54%
27%
18%
BolognaDrawAS Roma

1.85

54%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

5.41

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

43%

Bologna

2.32

20%

AS Roma

4.97

Win to Nil

23%

Bologna

4.30

4%

AS Roma

26.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 7.3 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 13.9 11.7 4.9 1.4 0.3
2 11.1 9.4 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 5.9 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.603
λ Away (xG) 0.843
Total xG 2.446
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.302
Bologna attack strength 1.033
Bologna defence strength 0.847
AS Roma attack strength 0.765
AS Roma defence strength 1.216
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 57