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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

17:00

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

40%

Atalanta

2.50

29%

Draw

3.50

31%

Bologna

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.37

1.10

Bologna xG

40%
29%
31%
AtalantaDrawBologna

2.50

40%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

33%

Atalanta

2.99

28%

Bologna

3.56

Win to Nil

13%

Atalanta

7.48

9%

Bologna

11.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.3 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 13.1 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 8.3 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.271
λ Away (xG) 1.096
Total xG 2.367
League avg home goals 1.221
League avg away goals 1.146
Atalanta attack strength 0.999
Atalanta defence strength 0.789
Bologna attack strength 1.213
Bologna defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74