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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

11:30

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

35%

Atalanta

2.86

31%

Draw

3.18

34%

Bologna

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.34

1.15

Bologna xG

35%
31%
34%
AtalantaDrawBologna

2.86

35%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

32%

Atalanta

3.17

31%

Bologna

3.26

Win to Nil

11%

Atalanta

9.06

10%

Bologna

9.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 11.2 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.4 13.2 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.8 7.8 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.182
λ Away (xG) 1.154
Total xG 2.336
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.176
Atalanta attack strength 0.942
Atalanta defence strength 0.989
Bologna attack strength 0.992
Bologna defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69