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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

36%

AS Roma

2.78

31%

Draw

3.26

33%

Inter

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.40

1.18

Inter xG

36%
31%
33%
AS RomaDrawInter

2.78

36%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

31%

AS Roma

3.24

29%

Inter

3.41

Win to Nil

11%

AS Roma

9.01

10%

Inter

10.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.6 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.1 13.1 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 1.175
Total xG 2.402
League avg home goals 1.194
League avg away goals 1.092
AS Roma attack strength 0.989
AS Roma defence strength 0.785
Inter attack strength 1.370
Inter defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44