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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

45%

AS Roma

2.20

28%

Draw

3.60

27%

Genoa

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.29

0.95

Genoa xG

45%
28%
27%
AS RomaDrawGenoa

2.20

45%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

39%

AS Roma

2.59

26%

Genoa

3.80

Win to Nil

18%

AS Roma

5.70

7%

Genoa

14.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 9.7 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 13.5 12.9 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.6 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.0 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.334
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.287
League avg home goals 1.214
League avg away goals 1.115
AS Roma attack strength 0.943
AS Roma defence strength 0.718
Genoa attack strength 1.190
Genoa defence strength 1.166
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54