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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

65%

AS Roma

1.53

24%

Draw

4.14

11%

Cremonese

9.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

16.0%

Home win

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.10

0.48

Cremonese xG

65%
24%
AS RomaDrawCremonese

1.53

65%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

9.49

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.24

69%

BTTS No

1.45

Clean Sheet

62%

AS Roma

1.62

20%

Cremonese

5.04

Win to Nil

40%

AS Roma

2.48

2%

Cremonese

47.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 5.9 1.4 0.2
1 19.8 9.6 2.3 0.4
2 16.0 7.7 1.9 0.3
3 8.6 4.2 1.0 0.2
4 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.617
λ Away (xG) 0.483
Total xG 2.100
League avg home goals 1.222
League avg away goals 1.219
AS Roma attack strength 1.125
AS Roma defence strength 0.632
Cremonese attack strength 0.626
Cremonese defence strength 1.176
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25