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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 9 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

56%

AS Roma

1.78

26%

Draw

3.90

18%

Cagliari

5.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.33

0.76

Cagliari xG

56%
26%
18%
AS RomaDrawCagliari

1.78

56%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

5.52

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

47%

AS Roma

2.15

21%

Cagliari

4.77

Win to Nil

26%

AS Roma

3.82

4%

Cagliari

26.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 7.5 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 15.3 11.7 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.9 9.1 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.2 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 0.764
Total xG 2.326
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.210
AS Roma attack strength 1.091
AS Roma defence strength 0.665
Cagliari attack strength 0.950
Cagliari defence strength 1.155
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61