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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Richmond Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St Patrick's Athl. Win

47%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.14

30%

Draw

3.39

24%

Shamrock Rovers

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

St Patrick's Athl. xG

Total xG

2.19

0.87

Shamrock Rovers xG

47%
30%
24%
St Patrick's Athl.DrawShamrock Rovers

2.14

47%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

42%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.38

27%

Shamrock Rovers

3.75

Win to Nil

20%

St Patrick's Athl.

5.10

6%

Shamrock Rovers

15.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
1 14.8 12.8 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.8 8.5 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.3 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.322
λ Away (xG) 0.866
Total xG 2.188
League avg home goals 1.257
League avg away goals 1.081
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 1.218
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.803
Shamrock Rovers attack strength 0.996
Shamrock Rovers defence strength 0.864
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45