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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 23 Jun 2025

19:45

Venue

Richmond Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St Patrick's Athl. Win

43%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.34

29%

Draw

3.48

28%

Derry City

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

St Patrick's Athl. xG

Total xG

2.21

0.96

Derry City xG

43%
29%
28%
St Patrick's Athl.DrawDerry City

2.34

43%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

38%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.61

29%

Derry City

3.47

Win to Nil

16%

St Patrick's Athl.

6.10

8%

Derry City

12.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.6 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.7 13.2 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.2 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 0.960
Total xG 2.205
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.102
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 1.085
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.924
Derry City attack strength 0.943
Derry City defence strength 0.881
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 56