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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Mon 3 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Richmond Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St Patrick's Athl. Win

50%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.01

27%

Draw

3.72

23%

Derry City

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

St Patrick's Athl. xG

Total xG

2.85

1.13

Derry City xG

50%
27%
23%
St Patrick's Athl.DrawDerry City

2.01

50%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

32%

St Patrick's Athl.

3.09

18%

Derry City

5.58

Win to Nil

16%

St Patrick's Athl.

6.21

4%

Derry City

23.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.2 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.6 9.7 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.9 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.720
λ Away (xG) 1.127
Total xG 2.847
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.083
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 1.140
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 1.091
Derry City attack strength 0.954
Derry City defence strength 1.075
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39