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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

50%

Shelbourne

2.00

26%

Draw

3.78

24%

Waterford

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.73

1.07

Waterford xG

50%
26%
24%
ShelbourneDrawWaterford

2.00

50%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

34%

Shelbourne

2.93

19%

Waterford

5.26

Win to Nil

17%

Shelbourne

5.85

4%

Waterford

22.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.8 11.6 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.6 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.0 5.3 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.660
λ Away (xG) 1.074
Total xG 2.734
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.035
Shelbourne attack strength 0.998
Shelbourne defence strength 1.031
Waterford attack strength 1.007
Waterford defence strength 1.219
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67