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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

50%

Shelbourne

2.00

27%

Draw

3.71

23%

Shamrock Rovers

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.30

0.87

Shamrock Rovers xG

50%
27%
23%
ShelbourneDrawShamrock Rovers

2.00

50%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

42%

Shelbourne

2.39

24%

Shamrock Rovers

4.17

Win to Nil

21%

Shelbourne

4.78

6%

Shamrock Rovers

18.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 8.8 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 14.3 12.5 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.2 8.9 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 4.9 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.427
λ Away (xG) 0.872
Total xG 2.299
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 0.956
Shelbourne attack strength 1.181
Shelbourne defence strength 0.999
Shamrock Rovers attack strength 0.912
Shamrock Rovers defence strength 0.900
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 38 / 37