Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Tallaght Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shamrock Rovers Win

56%

Shamrock Rovers

1.77

26%

Draw

3.87

18%

Derry City

5.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Shamrock Rovers xG

Total xG

2.25

0.72

Derry City xG

56%
26%
18%
Shamrock RoversDrawDerry City

1.77

56%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

5.65

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

48%

Shamrock Rovers

2.06

22%

Derry City

4.59

Win to Nil

27%

Shamrock Rovers

3.65

4%

Derry City

25.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 7.6 2.8 0.7 0.1
1 16.1 11.7 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.3 8.9 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 6.2 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.524
λ Away (xG) 0.724
Total xG 2.248
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.082
Shamrock Rovers attack strength 1.247
Shamrock Rovers defence strength 0.758
Derry City attack strength 0.884
Derry City defence strength 0.886
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61