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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Tallaght Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shamrock Rovers Win

46%

Shamrock Rovers

2.15

31%

Draw

3.18

22%

Derry City

4.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Shamrock Rovers xG

Total xG

2.01

0.77

Derry City xG

46%
31%
22%
Shamrock RoversDrawDerry City

2.15

46%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

4.51

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

46%

Shamrock Rovers

2.16

29%

Derry City

3.45

Win to Nil

21%

Shamrock Rovers

4.65

6%

Derry City

15.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 10.3 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 16.6 12.8 4.9 1.3 0.2
2 10.3 7.9 3.1 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.239
λ Away (xG) 0.770
Total xG 2.009
League avg home goals 1.212
League avg away goals 1.089
Shamrock Rovers attack strength 1.025
Shamrock Rovers defence strength 0.837
Derry City attack strength 0.845
Derry City defence strength 0.997
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 42