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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

47%

Derry City

2.14

31%

Draw

3.23

22%

Cork City

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.22

0.86

Cork City xG

47%
31%
22%
Derry CityDrawCork City

2.14

47%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

42%

Derry City

2.37

26%

Cork City

3.87

Win to Nil

20%

Derry City

5.07

6%

Cork City

17.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 9.4 4.1 1.2 0.3
1 14.7 12.7 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.0 8.6 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.5 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.354
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 2.217
League avg home goals 1.177
League avg away goals 1.067
Derry City attack strength 0.964
Derry City defence strength 0.957
Cork City attack strength 0.845
Cork City defence strength 1.193
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 6